Orbán knows Hungary – as a nation and culture – would be utterly overwhelmed and eventually diluted out of existence if it threw open its borders the way some Western European countries have or if it signed up for the various migrant relocation schemes the EU is perpetually cooking up. He understands the dangers of unlimited mass migration and has frequently called out the EU’s actions for what they truly are – strategic evil. Orbán is right about mass migration, but his efforts to spare Hungary from the ravages of “desirable, inevitable, and necessary” migration will come to naught in the mid-to-long term if he keeps Hungary within the EU.
Orbán had hoped the most recent European parliamentary elections would turn the tide in Europe against migration. Though anti-migration parties made some slight gains, the revolution Orbán had hoped for failed to materialize. Nevertheless, Orbán relentlessly continues his attempts to change the EU from within – to make the EU an organization of nation states rather than a unified and totalitarian superstate. As noble as these efforts may seem, especially to those with nationalistic sensibilities, I have come to the conclusion they will effectively achieve nothing in the long term. Despite Orbán’s apparent beliefs to the contrary, the EU is far too corrupted and far too evil to be changed in any meaningful way from within. Hence, the only way Hungary, or any other EU country for the matter, can hope to save itself is by leaving the European Union.
Deep down Orbán knows this, but he is unwilling to consider the option for two reasons. First, leaving the EU would be political suicide for him domestically. Though Hungarians are wary of the EU and everything it stands for, they are surprisingly in favor of remaining within the organization. Second, leaving the EU would cause significant economic hardships for Hungary in the short-term, and it seems no one in Hungary is willing to face that possibility. As a result, Orbán’s current politicking amounts to little more than a massive case of wanting to have your cake and eat it, too.
Now many who admire Orbán might be quick to point out that his anti-immigration policies have worked and will continue to work into the foreseeable future even if Hungary remains firmly within the European Union. I find this assessment of circumstances wildly optimistic to say the least. Hungary’s hastily-erected, patrolled fence along its southern border has been immensely effective in stemming the tide of illegal migration from the Balkans, but it is the only fence Hungary has. There is no fence or border patrol along the western border with Austria. But, why would there be? No migrants wish to travel from the west to the east. Very few migrants that manage to make it into Hungary from Romania, Serbia, or Croatia have any intention of remaining in Hungary. Nearly every single one of them wants to travel farther west to countries like Germany, Sweden, or Holland. Hungary has also rejected every single migrant relocation initiative the EU has tabled. But what if all this were to change?
Here’s a possible scenario. The EU, in cooperation with the UN, is dead set on continuing migration into Europe permanently. Leaders like Orbán may be able to stop undocumented migrants from entering their countries, but how well will they fare against a tide of naturalized migrants all bearing European citizenships and passports? Sound outlandish? I don’t think so. Orbán’s current perceivable success in thwarting the EU’s migration schemes is based mostly on his government’s ability to wield the EU’s laws against the EU itself. Nevertheless, the European Union could easily turn the tables and begin using the same play book. For example, it could take a few hundred thousand migrants, grant them all EU citizenship, and with the provision of adequate housing and funding, it could begin to incentivize an endless stream of new “European” migrant citizens into Hungary. The country could then be overwhelmed within a decade, and there would not be a thing Hungary could do about it as long as it continued to remain within the Union.
This speculation of mine may sound far-fetched, but the events of 2015 appeared far-fetched as well, yet they occurred. If Orbán is serious about saving his country and defending Christianity, he will have no choice but take Hungary out of the EU. His current attempts to “change” the EU are futile. Demons tend to be quite inflexible and do not respond well to requests for change.